Tag Archives: 2020 Democratic Party presidential nomination

Will Bernie break our hearts?

Image result for Bernie leaves hospital

In the video grab above, Bernie Sanders leaves a Las Vegas hospital yesterday after what first was reported on Tuesday as “chest discomfort” during a campaign event and then later was confirmed to have been a heart attack. This bad news came after it was reported that Bernie had raised more money than did any other Democratic presidential candidate in the third quarter. Bernie’s campaign says that he is doing well and that he intends to participate in the next primary debate, which will be on October 15.

News of the apparent heart attack that Bernie Sanders had on Tuesday while campaigning his heart out in Nevada predictably raised the question of his age (he is 78 years old now, and if elected, would enter the Oval Office at age 79, making him the oldest president we’ve had).

Two stents were placed in one of Bernie’s coronary arteries, he was released from the hospital yesterday, and his campaign says that he intends to participate in the October 15 debate in Ohio.

Will this sink Bernie?

I don’t think so. It gives those who weren’t supporting him anyway a(nother) “reason” to justify their self-defeating snubbing of the most consistently progressive presidential candidate that we have, but those of us who steadfastly have stood by Bernie will continue to do so.

As long as Bernie does well in his public appearances and has no more significant medical incidents, I expect this to blow over. It’s early October, after all, and the first voting isn’t until February 3, when the Iowa caucuses take place — and this is the United States of Amnesia.

And I think it’s fair to ask the question if it’s OK to stigmatize someone for having had a medical event after which one can, with medical attention, live normally and capably for many years. I know that if I had a heart attack but most likely still had several decent years of life left, I wouldn’t want to be written off.

Good news for Bernie from this past week is that in the third fundraising quarter of this year, he raised more money than did any other Democratic presidential contender — $25.3 million.

Close behind him was Elizabeth Warren, with $24.6 million, and poor Uncle Joe Biden raised only $15.2 million — he was eclipsed even by Boy Scout Pete Buttigieg, who raised $19.1 million. (Unlike Bernie and Warren, the center-right Buttigieg [like Biden] takes contributions from Big Money, though, so don’t take that fundraising figure as grassroots support for him that doesn’t actually exist.)

If fundraising is a measure of excitement for your campaign — and I think that it is for those few who, like Bernie, don’t take money from corporations and lobbyists and other power players — then Biden should be shitting his Depends. (Ah, c’mon; I had to go there…)

On that note, Biden continues to drop in the polls. Right now his nationwide polling average is around 27 percent, and Warren is nipping at his heels, with an average of almost 24 percent.

Bernie is at third place, with 16 percent, and after Bernie, at a rather distant fourth place, is Buttigieg, with around 6 percent. (Poor charisma-free Kamala Harris, who yet has to make a compelling case as to why she should be president, is at fifth place, with around only 5 percent.)

As I’ve noted about a million times before, I expect Biden to tank, as he did when he ran for the Democratic Party presidential nomination in 1988 and in 2008, and, as long as Bernie’s health holds up, I expect 2020 to be a race between Bernie and Warren.

It can’t be a direct comparison to the 2016 Bernie-vs.-Billary race, because while Billary only “found” progressivism rather late in the game during the 2016 cycle, this time around, from the get-go, Warren deftly has mimicked Bernie’s progressive angle while at the same time not pissing off the Democratic Party establishment hacks.

Warren, it seems to me, has a very good chance of winning this thing (the 2020 Democratic Party presidential nomination, I mean).

Unfortunately, Warren also has a good chance of losing in November 2020 — I still believe that Warren’s No. 1 weakness is that she so easily can be painted by the Repugnicans as just another clueless, weak egghead from Massachusetts, as was Michael Dukakis in 1988 and John Kerry in 2004.

Perhaps only the increasingly obvious and absolutely undeniable mega-corruption of the unelected Pussygrabber regime (including a copious amount of treason) can overcome this “swiftboating” tactic that has worked pretty well for the Repugnicans in the past.

P.S. With his hectic campaign schedule and his famously impassioned speeches, one might wonder why it took this long for Bernie to have a heart attack. Just sayin’…

I’m thinking that Bernie might want to slow down. He has, I think, built up enough political capital that he can relax just a little, at least for a little while.

Biden should tank, so Bernie probably doesn’t have to worry about Biden, and Team Bernie should, I think, emphasize the fact that he was an avowed progressive decades before Elizabeth Warren, who was a Repugnican as late as the 1990s, decided to join the club.

It’s a fair criticism — it is true, and it is, to me, anyway, at least a bit concerning.

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Will a crowded field benefit Bernie?

Dozen of Democrat's names have been mentioned in connection with the 2020 presidential race. The list includes governors, mayors, senators, congressmen, business people and one former vice president.

Associated Press composite photo

Dozens of individuals, including well-known and lesser-known politicos, celebrities and business people, have been discussed as possible candidates for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential nomination. This crowded field would, methinks, benefit Bernie Sanders the most.

Already the 2020 Democratic Party presidential field is being compared to the bloated 2016 Repugnican Party presidential field, which, I could argue easily, ultimately benefited Pussygrabber because the establishmentarian candidates all canceled each other out.

Similarly, could a crowded Dem Party field benefit Bernie Sanders in 2020?

I think so.

There are millions of us “Bernie bros” and “Berniebots” who aren’t at all deterred by the mediocre establishmentarians’ selfish, incredibly short-sighted slurs against us because we support a candidate who actually exemplifies progressivism instead of the Repugnican Lite, screw-the-people bullshit that is labeled “Democratic” politics.

If Bernie runs for 2020, we’re supporting him again. (And in fact, the more that Bernie is savaged by the DINOs, the stronger my support for him becomes, and I’m sure that I’m only one of millions in that regard.)

Fivethirtyeight.com in its recent piece titled “Who’s Behaving Like a 2020 Presidential Candidate” puts Bernie and Joe Biden as the top two individuals who thus far have shown the most signs of a 2020 Democratic presidential run.

Lower on the list are Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Kamala Harris, Martin O’Malley and Elizabeth Warren, in that order. (Warren is, in fact, surprisingly low on the list, but with her two fairly recent books and her public profile, I’m pretty sure that she’ll run.)

If it were just Bernie vs. Biden, it would be, I think, a lot like Bernie vs. Billary — the actual progressive against the establishmentarian “Democrat.”

I acknowledge that unfortunately there still are millions of Americans who don’t mind being sold out by the party that claims to wuv them so much yet never fucking fights for them, so I wouldn’t underestimate Biden, but at the same time, it seems to me, Democratic (and other) voters are beyond sick and tired of being sold out.

It seems to me that the Clinton-Obama-Biden bait and switch has exceeded its shelf life, probably especially with the younger voters, who truly know how badly they’ve been screwed.

Therefore, it seems to me, Biden’s popularity is overblown, and support for him is more likely out of anti-Pussygrabber sentiment (the incorrect belief that he’s best able to deny Pussygrabber a second term) than out of any real love for Biden, who has been on the political stage for decades but who has done next to nothing.

I posit that the more lesser-known candidates who run — such as Julián Castro, Eric Garcetti, Eric Holder, Tom Steyer, Michael Avenatti, Pete Buttigieg and John Hickenlooper (who appear on fivethirtyeight.com’s most-likely-to-run list in that order) — the more they’ll siphon a lot more support from Biden than from Bernie, so I say, The more the merrier!

The candidate most compared to Bernie probably is Elizabeth Warren, but I don’t know how much of a threat she’d pose to Bernie should she run. I like Warren enough, but I’ll never forget that she sat out 2016, very apparently too timid to dare to step on Queen Billary’s royal cape. Bernie had the balls to do that, but Warren, who is more establishmentarian and deferential to the calcified party establishment than Bernie ever has been, wussed out.

Warren might appeal to those still smarting over Billary’s defeat — she might appeal to them as a great revenge candidate — but at the same time, a white woman lost in 2016, so would Democratic voters be willing to front another white woman in 2020? (My own biggest concern about Warren is what I’ll call The Dukakis Effect — that she’d be painted as a weak, clueless, egghead Massachusetts liberal, just as Michael Dukakis was in 1988 — and, to a lesser extent, John Kerry was in 2004.)

Because the “Democratic” establishment loathes Bernie (How dare he have run against Queen Billary!?!?!), they ignore (at their own peril) his strength among the electorate.

I remember every time I’ve wanted to explode every time I’ve heard some fucktard wonder aloud who the heir apparent for the 2020 Democratic presidential nominee possibly could be when historically, whoever came in at second place in the last primary season almost always has been considered to be the front-runner for the next round. (This is true even of both duopolistic parties.)

I’ve said it before, but I’ll say it again: Bernie did quite well against Billary in 2016, especially given his much lower name recognition and how much the “Democratic” Party establishment did its best to coronate Billary. (Indeed, the fact that the 2016 Democratic presidential field was so small from the get-go is proof in and of itself that there was general knowledge that the party was going to do everything in its power to ensure that Billary “won” and that no challengers to Her Highness would be welcomed. [I do give Warren a bit of a break because of that fact.])

Despite how great and beloved a candidate Billary supposedly was, however, Bernie nonetheless won 22 states (plus the Democrats abroad) in the 2016 Democratic presidential primary contests, and he won 46 percent of the pledged delegates (delegates he had to win in the primary elections and caucuses).

I posit that most of those who supported Bernie in 2016 will do so again in 2020, and so he starts 2020 off with a shitload of support that he already earned in 2016.

But it’s fine with me if the establishmentarian fucktards want to write Bernie off; the more they stupidly underestimate him, the better he’ll do. While the DINOs predictably will be in denial that the party is over (literally and even figuratively) — such as by backing has-been Biden (or cheap Barack Obama knock-offs Cory Booker or Kamala Harris) — we “Berniebots” and “Bernie bros” will win the fucking thing this time.

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