Fivethirtyeight.com recently gave Joe Biden a 69-in-100 chance of winning the November 3 presidential election, to “President” Pussygrabber’s 30-in-100 chance of winning “re”-election. (Today, as I type this sentence, fivethirtyeight.com puts it at 69 in 100 for Biden and 31 in 100 for Pussygrabber.) The graphic below, also from fivethirtyeight.com, shows which states Biden must win to reach 270 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
“Republicans Run Toward Their Base. Democrats Run Away From Theirs,” correctly observes the website of Jacobin magazine.
Indeed, the Democratic National Convention gave Hidin’ Joe Biden no post-convention bounce in the polls, whereas apparently the Repugnican National Convention apparently has given “President” Pussygrabber a bounce.
Biden still leads Pussygrabber in the average of nationwide polls, but while Biden was ahead of Pussygrabber nationally by around 10 percentage points in June, he’s now ahead of Pussygrabber nationally by around 7 percentage points.
More critically, though, Biden has lost ground in the polls in the swing states, those states most likely to determine the winner of the Electoral College.
In July, Biden led Pussygrabber in six swing states (Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) by an average of around 6 percentage points; today, that’s down to a lead of only about 3 percentage points.
Luckily, there are swing states that Biden doesn’t have to win in order to win the magical 270 electoral votes. If he wins enough other states, he doesn’t have to win Arizona, he doesn’t have to win North Carolina, and he doesn’t even have to win Florida to still win the Electoral College.
But right now, Real Clear Politics’ average of the polls in those three states don’t show Biden leading enough for comfort; right now RCP has Biden’s average polling in Michigan at only 2.6 percent ahead of Pussygrabber, Biden’s average polling in Pennsylvania at 4.7 percent ahead of Pussygrabber, and Biden’s average polling in Wisconsin at 3.5 percent ahead of Pussygrabber.
What has happened that Biden has slid in the polls while Pussygrabber has done better in the polls since the duopolistic parties’ conventions?
Well, once again, the Democratic Party establishment has pretty much apologized for being Democratic by featuring more Repugnicans in its convention than featuring progressives, that is, actual Democrats. The take-away message is that the Democratic Party establishment is embarrassed by and wishes to distance itself from its own fucking base. That’s hardly the way to excite voters to vote for you.
Meanwhile, the Repugnicans, as usual, are doubling down on the bloody red meat that they’re tossing to their rabid base of mouth-breathing, knuckle-dragging, MAGA-cap-wearing, assault-rifle-toting fucktards. And it’s working for them.
And history has shown, over and over again, that when faced with the “choice” of the Repugnican Party or the Democratic Party acting like the Repugnican Lite Party, voters, probably especially the critical swing voters, tend to vote for the full-on Repugnican Party. Who the fuck wants to vote for a party that is ashamed of itself and virtually apologizes for its own existence?
As long as the Democrats in name only keep making the same mistakes — including shitting and pissing on the party’s own fucking base — the Democrats can expect to continue to lose otherwise winnable presidential elections, even if, as in 2000 and in 2016, they win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College.
Seriously, though, actual Democrat Bernie Sanders won 26.6 percent of the popular vote in the Democratic Party primary contests to Biden’s 51.5 percent. And that is with Bernie having suspended his campaign on April 8 while there were remaining primary elections and caucuses in April, May, June, July and this month, too. Bernie won the nation’s most populous state, California — which, dare I say, is the heart of the Democratic Party — for fuck’s sake.
But the center-right, pro-corporate, sellout Bidenbots — who put South Carolina’s voters far above California’s voters, even though a Democratic presidential candidate hasn’t won South Carolina since Jimmy Carter in 1976 — are perfectly happy pretending as though Bernie Sanders had never even existed.
Thing is, those of us who supported Bernie haven’t forgotten that Bernie existed, and many of us aren’t going to vote for Biden, no matter how much vote-shaming is thrown our way by the deplorable DINOs.
November 2020 could end up a lot like November 2016 — and again, the DINOs would spin yet another wholly preventably lost presidential election as not being their fault for having shit and pissed all over the party’s base, but as being the fault of us progressives — us actual Democrats — for not having gotten on board with the Democratic Party establishment’s Repugnican-Lite agenda — even though we had made it abundantly clear in 2016 that enough of us would not fucking do that.
The DINOs think that they can win nationwide elections without progressives. They persist in this delusion even when history amply shows them that they cannot.
When push comes to shove, I guess that my advice to progressives would be that if they live in one of the three especially critical battleground states — Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (the states that Billary should have won but did not, because she was a shitty, shitty candidate) — that if they really don’t want another four years of Pussygrabber, then they really must hold their noses, take an antiemetic, and vote for Hidin’ Joe Biden.
And it wouldn’t hurt for those who live in the next-critical three battleground states, Arizona, Florida and North Carolina, to vote for Biden if they don’t want another four years of Pussygrabber. And to that list I could, and will, add Minnesota, Nevada and New Hampshire as well.
However, I couldn’t be mad at anyone who is left of center for not voting for Biden. After all, I refuse to vote for Biden (but again, I live in California, which Biden is going to win anyway, so I don’t have to vote for him and worry that this at all will help Pussygrabber; I have that luxury, given the vagaries of the obsolete, antiquated Electoral College, which should have been scrapped by now for the popular vote).
If another four years of “President” Pussygrabber meant the sure death of the corporate-whore DINOs and a return of the Democratic Party to its progressive roots, then I’d be the first to shout from the rooftops: “Four more years!”
However, I’m not confident that the nation could survive another four years of a blatantly fascist “president,” and yet it’s also clear that the the DINOs never, ever will admit that they were wrong all of this time. They could lose presidential election after presidential election after presidential election and still insist that being a center-right corporate whore is the only way to go.
As a nation, we are reaching the end of our rope.
I can see the nation devolving into full-blown fascism, which offers “easy” “answers” and “solutions” to our biggest problems — or, as a reaction to this fascism, finally evolving into the progressive nation that it always could have been, but has only been for brief windows of time, such as during the Progressive Era and the New Deal coalition.
It seems to me that we progressives might win it all — or lose it all. And that this fate could be decided only 65 days from today, on November 3.