Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, pictured above at the Democratic Party presidential debate in July, are buddies now, but what if they emerge as the top two candidates, a la Billary and Bernie in 2016?
As I wrote, I fully support the impeachment inquiry of the “president.” He has skated for about three years now and it’s long past due that he be held accountable for his gross corruption and lawlessness. As I noted, right after he’d figured that he’d gotten away with being linked to Russia’s 2016 presidential election meddling — politically, the Mueller report widely stupidly was branded as inconclusive, even though it wasn’t (it’s just that Robert Mueller was too pussy to use the stronger language that he should have) — “President” Pussygrabber figured that the coast was clear to recruit Ukraine to help him “win” “re”-election in November 2020.
If I’d narrowly escaped accountability for a serious crime that I’d committed, I’d cool my jets and certainly wouldn’t commit the same crime again, but we’re talking about Pussygrabber, not a sane, normal individual who has some humility and who learns from his or her fuck-ups.
As the Democratic House’s impeachment inquiry churns on, of course we wonder which of the 2020 Democratic presidential candidates it might help and which of them it might harm.
So here goes:
From everything I’ve read from reputable (that is, non-right-wing) sources, there is no evidence that Joe Biden did anything illegal in regards to his son’s business in Ukraine. (And indeed, for Team Pussygrabber to talk about Biden’s offspring being privileged because his daddy is a top U.S. politico sure is funny.)
The Intercept, which as a progressive website is not a fan website for Joe Biden, recently noted this (the links are The Intercept’s):
President Donald Trump appears increasingly desperate to deflect questions about the flagrant abuse of power he seems to have committed this summer by withholding aid to Ukraine as he pressed that country’s new president to open an investigation into the false claim that Joe Biden abused his power as vice president to protect his son’s business interests in Ukraine in 2015.
Since the news broke that Trump repeatedly pressed his Ukrainian counterpart, Volodymyr Zelensky, to open an investigation into Biden, while delaying $250 million in military aid to Ukraine, the president has urged reporters again and again to look instead at the viral conspiracy theory that the former vice president had admitted on camera that he blackmailed Ukraine’s former president.
In fact, as a detailed review of the evidence conducted by The Intercept in May showed, Biden’s intervention in Ukrainian affairs that year, when he successfully pressed Ukraine’s then-president to dismiss a chief prosecutor who had failed to pursue corruption investigations, was no secret and was widely praised by Ukrainian anti-corruption activists and international donors to the country.
The reason there is footage of Biden boasting about this intervention on stage at a public event in 2018 is that he knew he had nothing to hide.
Put simply, there is no evidence to support the conspiracy theory that Trump and his personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani want Ukraine to validate by opening an investigation. Still, it has become an article of faith among Trump supporters that Biden got the chief prosecutor, Viktor Shokin, dismissed to derail a corruption investigation of a Ukrainian firm his son was paid to advise.
But journalists at leading American news organizations — including CNN, The New York Times, Politico, ABC News, and MSNBC — have helped weaponize this disinformation by repeating the baseless smear over and over, without promptly and accurately conveying that Trump and Giuliani are lying about what the former vice president did in Ukraine. So lies and misinformation have been broadcast nationwide, reaching millions of people who will never read subsequent fact checks debunking them. … [Emphasis mine.]
Indeed, that last sentence is the rub, which is why I surmise that Joe Biden will be hurt by the very apparently false allegations that he did anything illegal in Ukraine in regards to his son.
Team Pussygrabber knows that if you repeat a lie often enough, a good chunk of the American populace will believe it. Even if many voters don’t believe it, it nonetheless will tarnish Biden. False allegations, repeated often enough, at least can plant questions in the electorate’s minds about a candidate.
So Biden, to many if not even most of the lower-information voters and “swing” voters (who pretty much are one and the same…), increasingly will be tarnished.
Even among the better educated voters, including myself, Biden Fatigue sets in. Those of us who are old enough remember the constant controversy surrounding the likes of Bill Clinton and Billary Clinton, and we probably don’t have the appetite now for Clinton-level controversy regarding Joe Biden — even if the “controversy” is fabricated by the right-wing traitors, as it so often is.
Biden is such a milquetoast, status-quo-loving candidate that I ask: Is he worth it to weather the storm with him? My answer: Hell no.
And I find it interesting that Team Pussygrabber would target Biden, who probably would have imploded on his own anyway. (Just give him enough rope…) Team Pussygrabber thus far has chosen the weakest Democratic presidential candidate to try to sink, in my book.
I believe that Biden is toast. His own endless “gaffes” and very apparent cognitive issues aside, now he is being spoken of negatively incessantly — he’s being tainted, which, again, of course is the idea.
This leaves us with the only two other Democratic presidential hopefuls who are hitting the double digits in the nationwide (and early-state) polls: Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders.
Many surmise that Warren will benefit the most from the impeachment inquiry, since she successfully has portrayed herself as Mrs. Anti-Corruption and we’ve seen nothing but corruption from Team Pussygrabber since even before Pussygrabber “won” the White House.
Indeed, Warren is doing well in the polls right now. She averages almost 22 percent in the nationwide polls to Biden’s 27 percent. She’s awfully close to him.
Some pundits have Warren already winning this thing, apparently forgetting or ignoring that both Pete Buttigieg and Kamala Harris both had spikes in their nationwide polling, only to sink back down into the single digits. This kind of movement is normal within presidential primary campaigns, in which you have to look at the forest (many reputable polls over longer periods of time), not at the trees (individual polls within short periods of time).
Bernie is a little behind Warren in the nationwide polls, averaging about 17 percent.
It’s still way too early to write Bernie’s obituary, however. He’s only five percentage points behind Warren right now (emphasis on “right now”) and no other candidate even breaks out of the single digits. (Fourth-place Buttigieg is only at 6 percent, and fifth-place Harris is only at 5 percent.)
When Biden finally is out of the picture, it will be interesting to see which candidate benefits the most, Sanders or Warren.
Warren is formidable. She is a two-fer: One, she’s never bucked the Democratic Party establishment (which is not in my “positive” column) — so the Democratic Party hacks won’t attack her as not being a real Democrat, as they incredibly stupidly have attacked Bernie as such (to me, he’s the only true Democrat [that is, true progressive] in the race). And two, Warren successfully has branded herself as a progressive, even though she was a Repugnican as late as the 1990s, even though she still supports capitalism despite what it has done to the planet and to its peoples (I consider myself to be a democratic socialist), and even though, as The New York Times reported earlier this month, she “raised big money before she denounced big money.” (“Warren wooed wealthy donors for years, stockpiling money from fundraisers, and has used $10.4 million from her 2018 Senate race to underwrite her 2020 bid,” notes the Times.)
The low-info voter doesn’t know and never will know any of these unflattering facts about Warren, which probably is part of her political calculation, which apparently has been to be very careful not to piss off the Democratic Party hacks while trying to pass herself off as a clone of Bernie Sanders in order to dupe enough of his (otherwise) supporters.
My biggest concern about Warren winning the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination, however, is that the former Harvard professor easily will be branded by Team Pussygrabber as just another clueless, weak egghead from Massachusetts, as la Michael Dukakis and John Kerry — and therefore she’ll lose the presidential election just like Michael Dukakis and John Kerry.
The Democrats have a rather long history of nominating candidates they believe will be a slam dunk in the general election, only to see the Repugnican candidate winning, often in a landslide.
All of that said, should Warren win the nomination, I probably could hold my nose and vote for her in November 2020, hoping that as president she actually would do her best to enact the interminable progressive plans that she has touted. But a President Warren easily could turn out to be another President Obama — paying lip service to progressivism in the campaign but barely touching the status quo once actually in office.
Probably the only thing that could prevent me from voting for Warren in November 2020 would be if her supporters do what Billary Clinton’s supporters did in 2016 — call those of us who have supported Bernie Sanders “sexist” and “misogynist.”
Toxic identity politics don’t shame me; they only make me dig in. It’s just as fucked up to attack men for having been born men as it is to attack women for having been born women. Sexism is sexism, and misandry is not “woke” — it’s rank sexism, and I oppose sexism. (Ditto for the anti-white movement: It’s just racism and racial supremacism wrapping itself in the mantle of “justice.”)
So, in conclusion: I think that Joe Biden is out, that’s it’s only a matter of time. Tick-tock… Biden very probably would have imploded on his own, but the fabricated Ukrainegate should get him out even faster. (I’m not saying that that is fair, but it is what it is.)
This should leave us with a race between Warren and Bernie, which in some ways will be like the 2016 contest between Bernie and Billary, except that Billary didn’t even pretend to be at least somewhat progressive until later in the race, when it became clear that Bernie was doing much better in the primary elections and caucuses than most had thought he would.
Warren has a leg up over Billary, because she’s been at least pretending to be progressive — just like Bernie — all along.
This should be interesting.
P.S. I don’t much see the impeachment inquiry helping or harming Bernie. He has stood outside of the two-party duopoly for some time now, and he very much sticks to his message, and therefore I don’t much see him getting sucked into the impeachment brouhaha, for his benefit or to his detriment.
Of course he supports the impeachment inquiry and I’m sure that if it goes to a vote in the Senate he’ll vote to remove Pussygrabber from the White House, but, again, I don’t see Bernie allowing the impeachment drama to overtake his years-long message on socioeconomic justice.
He is nothing if not consistent, which is in my “plus” column.