Of the three presidential candidates still standing, only Bernie Sanders’ nationwide favorability ratings are positive rather than negative — both Donald Trump and Billary Clinton are disliked more than they are liked by the American electorate by double digits — and Bernie does the best of the three in presidential-election match-up polls: Billary beats Trump by around 6 percent to 7 percent, whereas Bernie beats Trump by around 12 percent to 13 percent. This past week a poll showed that about half of Billary’s supporters primarily just want her to block Trump’s election and about half of Trump’s supporters primarily just want him to block Billary’s. (See the graph below.) Sanders is the strongest remaining presidential candidate, hands down, and I support him and only him to the end.
I’m still a Berner. From the house gathering for him that I attended in my California neighborhood in late July of last year on a sweltering summer day to Bernie’s rally that I plan to attend in my area tomorrow evening to the vote that I will cast for him on my ballot that I should receive in the mail this coming week, I support Bernie and no other candidate for the Democratic Party presidential nomination and for the White House.
No, even the specter of President Donald Trump isn’t enough to induce me to flush my conscience down the toilet and support Repugnican Lite Billary Clinton in any way whatsofuckingever.
Der Fuehrer Trump is a fascist piece of shit, but a President Trump would be exactly what Americans deserve for our long-standing dereliction of civic duty, just as we deserved George W. Bush. (When Gee Dubya & Co. blatantly stole the 2000 presidential election we, the people, should have rioted in the streets, but we did not, so we got such things as 9/11, the Vietraq War, Hurricane Katrina [its preventable deaths of between 1,000 and 2,000 people, disproportionately black and poor, I mean] and another nationwide economic collapse under a George Bush.)
The 2016 presidential race on the Repugnican Tea Party side is settled, but on the Democratic side, at least on paper, it remains unsettled.
With nine more states (including the biggest state, California, my home state) and the District of Columbia to go, right now Billary’s lead in estimated pledged delegates (delegates earned in the primary elections and caucuses) is 291 over Bernie, 1,708 to 1,417. That’s 45.3 percent of the pledged delegates for Bernie and 54.7 percent of them for Billary. (The so-called super-delegates can’t vote until the party’s convention in late July; it takes 2,383 delegates to win the nomination, and Billary is about 675 delegates away from that.)
That there is only a 9 percent difference in the number of pledged delegates between Bernie and Billary demonstrates how weak Billary is within her own party. If there were overwhelming love for Billary within her own fucking party, she’d be doing much better than 9 percent against Bernie right now.
And outside of the Democratic Party — and the Billarybots forget or ignore that there is a world outside of their own center-right/pro-plutocratic/anti-populist/sellout bubble — Billary is much less popular.
Every poll of Americans nationwide taken within the past several months shows that more dislike Billary than like her, usually by double digits. Indeed, the Huffington Post’s average of favorability polls of Billary has her at 54 percent unfavorable to 42 percent favorable, putting her underwater by 12 percentage points.
Trump’s nationwide popularity is even lower than is Billary’s — HuffPo’s average of favorability polls of Trump has him at 60 percent unfavorable to only 36 percent favorable, leaving him 24 percentage points in the hole — but Billary still doesn’t do well enough against Trump in presidential match-up polls.
There is a lot of time between now and November, I hear the chorus of Billarybots whine-sing, but both Billary and Trump are well known, having been on the national scene for decades. I don’t see room for a lot of change in the current polling numbers, and Billary’s lead over Trump of only 6 percent to 7 percent is too close for comfort.
Bernie Sanders, on the other hand, has polled more favorably than unfavorably in every poll taken this year, and HuffPo’s average of favorability polls of Bernie has him at 53 percent favorable to 40 percent unfavorable — he’s 13 percent in the black to Billary’s being 12 percent in the red, and her being negative 12 and his being positive 13 puts him at 25 percentage points ahead of her in the likability/favorability department.
Bernie Sanders hands down is the nationwide electorate’s most liked of the three presidential candidates left standing.
That’s a compelling reason for him to stay in the race through the late-July Democratic Party convention, as are his poll numbers against Trump: Real Clear Politics’ average of match-up polls has Bernie beating Trump by 13.4 percent and HuffPo’s average has Bernie beating Trump by 11.5 percent — he does about twice as better against Trump as does Billary.
So unpopular are both Billary and Trump, in fact, that this past week it was reported that about half of those who plan to vote for Billary just want to stop Trump, and about half of those who plan to vote for Trump just want to stop Billary.*
This is called the “anti-vote” and “negative partisanship,” of which Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, recently remarked, “If we were trying to maximize the effect [of negative partisanship], we couldn’t have found better nominees than Trump and Clinton.”
Along with the “anti-vote” and “negative partisanship,” we have the lesser-of-two-evils-ism that has gripped our presidential politics for some time now.
We can do and we should do much better than this. Supporting Billary because she’s the lesser of the two evils only perpetuates the problem; it doesn’t resolve it.
And again, Donald Trump is just the natural karmic result of our dereliction of civic duty — as is Repugnican Lite/Democrat in name only Billary Clinton — and when we have only one presidential candidate still standing who is favored by more Americans than he is disfavored by them, if we don’t put him into the White House but allow Trump or the not-lesser-enough evil Billary into the White House, again, we will get, as we did with George W. Bush, exactly what we deserve.
… About 47 percent of Trump supporters said [in a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Thursday] they backed him primarily because they don’t want Clinton to win. Another 43 percent said their primary motivation was a liking for Trump’s political positions, while 6 percent said they liked him personally.
Similar responses prevailed among Clinton supporters.
About 46 percent said they would vote for her mostly because they don’t want to see a Trump presidency, while 40 percent said they agreed with her political positions, and 11 percent said they liked her personally.
The April 29-May 5 poll included 469 likely Trump voters and 599 likely Clinton voters. It has a credibility interval of 5 percentage points. (For results, click tmsnrt.rs/1TLCbqX) …
Look at that — only 11 percent of Clinton voters say they’ll vote for her because they actually like her, while a whopping 46 percent say they plan to vote for her primarily to stop Trump.
This is what the Democratic Party (and, to be fair, our national politics) has come to.
Finally, while Bernie Sanders’ supporters have not, to my knowledge, similarly been polled as to why they support him, I’m confident that if they were, you’d see results that are quite different from the similar results that Billary and Trump received.
I surmise that Bernie’s political positions and likability would come in at the top two reasons (in either order) and that blocking another candidate from winning the White House would come in third.
For me it would be his policy positions at No. 1, his likability at No. 2, and blocking either Billary or The Donald from winning the White House at No. 3 (although No. 3 might come in close behind No. 2 for me).
I confidently can say that I support Bernie primarily for Bernie and for what he stands for (and does not stand for) — and that I primarily support him not just to block another candidate, as is the case with about half of Billary’s and Trump’s supporters, who appear to be driven as much by hatred and fear of the opponent than by any fondness for their own candidate.